Ambiguity appears to be the order of much of what we see.
Suppposing I was an expert and the editor of a publication asked me to write an anrticle on fishing the late june/early july evening caddis hatch on my local river and I wrote such an article - how much use would it be to the reader.
Firstly , it would be based on
my experiences of caddis hatches on
whatever rivers I fished, and geared to the particular river in question. So unless you fished my river you may gain some knowledge but it may not be terribly accurate for your rivers.
Even if I was 100% correct in what I wrote there is still another major issue. These hatches do not occur in isolation. BWO's will also be very active, there may be some Yelllow Mays about. Water conditions may be different than they usuallly are this time of year. So armed only with the information from my article, a would be angler using that info may find that many of the trout at times are completely ignoring his caddis imitations and could justifiably call my article bullsh.t. And god help him should there be a big fall of BWO spinners, he would probably go home and burn my article and decry me as a nutter.
My point is that , there are many many influences at work at any given time on the river and that it does require an enquiring mind and yes CONJECTURE to assimilalte, digest and react to what is happening in front of us. The more we do this the more valuable will be the experience factor. Experience is not a mere exponential factor of time on the water, it is more about how one uses the time in careful consideration of action and effect of everything that is happening and the mental storing of patterns. Experience will tell every angler what he can expect to happen at any given part of the season, quality experience allied with sensible conjecture will alllow an individual to develop an ability to react to changing circumstances much quicker than an angler that has not applied themselves to question everything.
I do not hold that trout behaviour is particularily complex, or that in general they are particularily clever but I do believe that their environment in which they live and feed is quite complex and how they react when it comes to feeding can also be quite complex, particularily on rivers with good hatches, heavy angling pressure and C&R. The C&R factor is often ignored when we analyse trout behaviour on our particular river, I however believe it to be a vital consideration in one's approach, and why on some rivers it can be vitally important to fish quite specific patterns to hatch stages and to fish them in as natural a way as possible. Should your river be stocked then that changes the whole picture when you enter discussion with someone whose river only holds wild trout.
Black and white..... and grey, blue, pink, green,indigo ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,and orange
